Pre-season player rankings will only take you so far. We all know the projections that fantasy sites, blogs and magazines create will end up being wrong. There are, and will always be, players that break out. And, on the flip side, whether it’s due to injury or poor play, there will always be players that [...]
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With so much preparation, expert analysis and researching of fantasy players in August, I figured “Hey, maybe I should talk about some of the idiotic claims people are making about running backs this year.” I did this exercise about a month ago with receivers, so instead of any sort of interesting preface or introduction, I’ll [...]
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The question mark in running back Chris Johnson’s new(ish) nickname makes sense. Nobody knows. Once known as CJ2K after rushing for over 2,000 yards in 2009, Chris Johnson has been dubbed CJ?K after failing to perform in 2011. But is it fair? Should we really be this low on a player who once achieved such [...]
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Could you imagine going to the grocery store for a gallon of milk, and paying a couple of extra bucks just for the heck of it? The price tag says “$3.50”, but you just say, “hey, I’m going to pay an extra dollar for this” when you get to the checkout line. Or let’s say [...]
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The year was 2003. Peyton Manning was the second best fantasy quarterback, sandwiched between Daunte Culpepper and Trent Green. Priest Holmes and Ahman Green dominated the running back landscape, with Stephen Davis and Moe Williams rounding out the top-12 at the position. And at tight end, only Tony Gonzalez was able to beat out Shannon [...]
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We spend way too much time agonizing over our early-round draft selections. The fact is, nearly everyone in your league will have similar rankings at the top end of the draft. And sure, you can say “I’m going to avoid Chris Johnson at all costs,” but at the end of the day, what really differentiates [...]
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You know that feeling when you lose your wallet? You spend 5 or 10 minutes looking through your house, hoping it will show up in the most obscure places possible. And that sensation in your stomach – it’s nothing short of awful. You think the absolute worst. You have ideas in your head that don’t [...]
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If you’ve read my blog over this inaugural month, I hope you’ve noticed that I like looking at historical numbers. My book, The Late Round Quarterback, deciphers past numbers in order to provide a well-developed fantasy football strategy that can help both pre- and post-draft. It’s not all that fair to look at the previous [...]
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Everyone wants to get Rodgers this season because his 2011 campaign was so spectacular. But we can’t look at Aaron Rodgers’ season last year and simply conclude that it was far and away the best we’d ever seen. Yes, he scored the most points ever from a fantasy quarterback, but that’s all relative. I’ve been [...]
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Each season, fantasy owners and experts like to make generalizations about players that make little logical sense. They’ll compare two completely separate instances in order to come up with ill-informed conclusions. They’ll say things like, “this quarterback is bad, and so this wide receiver can’t be good.” The same is happening this year. We’ve got [...]
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The Browns will have a new look offense in 2012. It appears as though the Colt McCoy era is over. Well, I guess I shouldn’t call it an era – that makes it sound like it was long. Brandon Weeden is expected to be the starter in Cleveland this season. In an AFC North division [...]
Read more →This isn’t about predicting a breakout season for a running back. Instead, this is about what happens to players after they put up top numbers for the first time in their careers. For this analysis, I’ve defined “breakout season” as the following: A player has a breakout season when he finishes in the fantasy football [...]
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